Monday 26 October 2015

Getting to the Meat of the Matter: a brief overview of the issue


Whilst my last post served as a general introduction to the theme of my blog, this post will focus on the basis of the issue, in which I wish to underline the important consequences livestock farming has on our environment. So, what is it really all about..? What evidence do we have? What are the statistics saying?  And above all:

What’s really warming our planet?

Firstly, I believe a visual explanation of global warming contributors was the most effective way to introduce the basis of the problem. The figure below, created by NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), displays the four human induced factors that contribute to Earth’s rising temperatures between 1880 and 2005. The black ‘observed’ line represents the measured global land and ocean temperature records. The greenhouse gases, Ozone, land use and aerosols are all model estimated that each human factor contributes to the overall temperatures. However, we notice a clear distinction between the greenhouse gas line and the other three coloured lines. Thus, it is argued that greenhouse gas is majorly responsible for causing observed temperatures to rise from the 1930s to 2005.



Now that it is clear to us that greenhouse gas is the number one factor responsible for global warming (epa.gov), its is only logical to find out what’s actually causing these greenhouse gas emissions from being increasingly present in our atmosphere.




Here, the energy supply sector represents the highest contribution to carbon dioxide according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (IPCC, 2007). The agricultural sector, which includes livestock farming, is accountable for a modest 13, 5 %, according to the above pie chart and for the year 2004.

But, in 2006, the Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO) published an important report that first brought the link between animal agriculture and climate change to light. Dr. Henning Steinbeck and his fellow UN experts calculated that 18% of all annual global greenhouse gas emissions were accounted for by livestock farming (FAO, 2006).  A few years later two World Bank experts showed that livestock and their byproducts (all secondary products made in the manufacturing of a primary product) are actually responsible for 51% of all worldwide greenhouse gas emissions (Goodland et al, 2009).

But why are all these statistics so significantly different to one another? How accurate are these figures and are they really portraying the truth?

A statistical debate

First and foremost, the two studies had calculated radically different numbers of livestock animals living in the world. The World Bank article suggested an approximate of 50 billion livestock animals whilst the FAO had only presented 21,7 billion livestock animals globally in their research. The case for the FAO’s ‘missing animals’ was later proven to be an error by scholar (Akers, 2010) and that in fact 34,3 billion livestock animals should have been added to the previously estimated number (more than half of the animals forgotten in the calculus!).
I believe, above all, that whatever the number may be, global meat consumption and therefore global demands for meat are exponentially rising. The 2013 FAO report predicted a 70% increase in meat demand by 2050 (FAO, 2013), which is worrying for world population growing at a rate of 1,13% per year (worldometers.info).

Going back to the IPCC’s 2007 pie chart above, I believe, it may somewhat be misleading. Although numbers are accurate, we must not forget that agriculture is indirectly linked to all other sectors in this chart. Agriculture is accounting for the forestry sector which cuts down trees in order to grow crops instead. In similar ways it is linked to waste/waste water sector, energy supplies and transportation for all the meat and dairy we consume from the various countries around the world. It is fundamental to keep a critical eye when analyzing data and statistics which is something I aim to do throughout the integrity of my blog posts.  

Understanding the environmental impact

So far, I have provided you with a set of explained statistics on the broader agricultural sector as well as the more focused livestock agricultural sector. In this manner, I hope to have enlightened you with some important numbers on how animal agriculture is a leading factor contributing to GHG emissions. Both directly and indirectly, livestock is a major player in global environmental issues (FAO, 2006). To briefly summarise, livestock has a substantial impact on all aspects of the environment:

-      -  Land use
-       - Global water bodies
-      -  Climatic changes (land and ocean temperature rising)
-       - Air (through air pollution)
-       - Biodiversity

This brief overview enabled me to present the basis of the issue and has given a good foretaste to my upcoming blog posts.

That's all for now!!



2 comments:

  1. How does the latest IPCC report for GHG emissions from agriculture differ from 2007?

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  2. Dear Anson,

    In 2007, the IPCC found that agriculture was accountable for 13,5% of all global GHG emissions for the year 2004 (an equivalent of approx. 6,1 GtCO2eq/yr), (IPCC, 2007). In the latest IPCC report, that came out in 2014, it was suggested that agriculture, forestry and other land use were responsible for a little less than a quarter of all GHG emissions in the world (~10–12 GtCO2eq/yr). Here, these two statistics are not comparable, as they do not consist of the same factors. However, according to the 2014 IPCC report, agriculture emitted 5.5 to 5.8 GtCO2eq/year. In comparing both numbers from 2007 and 2014, we can see that emissions were higher in 2004 (with 6.1 GtCO2eq/yr) compared to 2014 (~5.5-5.8 GtCO2eq/yr). The statistics suggest that the amount of GHG emitted from agriculture is relatively similar in 2004 and 2014 but has seen a slight decrease of GHG being emitted in the atmosphere from agriculture in 2014.

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